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HOW PROFESSIONAL GAMBLERS BEAT THE PRO FOOTBALL POINTSPREAD

HOW PROFESSIONAL GAMBLERS BEAT THE PRO FOOTBALL POINTSPREAD

Item #: 9780974616803
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    A step-by-step guide to full time sports betting. How the business of sports betting 'works', pointspreads, 'vigs and bookmakers, how pros pencil-in a predicted score, how to recognize key pointspreads, how to account for injuries, how to spot motivations, how to beat over/unders, correct money management, how to profit from parlays, how to deal with abstractual factors, how to spot sucker plays, how to beat exhibition season, how to spot motivations, how to form power ratings, how to profit from various special situations....Everything you need to know to beat Pro Football! 208 Pgs 2004

    Table of Contents

    • Foreword
    • About the Author
    • Chapter 1: Pointspreads, Vigorish & Bookmakers
      • What you Must Know About Pointspreads
      • 27 1/2 Points Away, & Still Not Enough
      • Why You Can Win
      • Over/Under Lines
      • What You Must KNow About Vigorish
      • ILLUS. 1-1: The Cost of Vigorish
      • How to Deal with Bookmakers
      • Legal Sports Books are Different
      • Enough Blanace Vs. Equal Balance
      • Who Sets The Opening Line?
    • Balancing the Risk??
    • The Angel's Gift
    • Chapter 2: How to Pencil-in a Prediction
      • Using Mathematical Formulas
      • How to Establish Power Rating
      • How to Usse Power Ratings To Predict Scores
      • Beware of Averaging
    • a 70% Probability
    • Chapter 3: How to Spot Motivations
      • How to Spot Team Character
      • How to Judge Owners, Execs & Corporations
      • How to Account for Distractions
      • How To Spot Must-Win Situations
      • Beware of False Must-Win Situations
      • To Figure Home Field Advantage
      • How To Profit From Revenge Situations
      • Look Back and Remember
      • How To Profit From 'Sandiwch' Games
      • How To Profit From Spotlighted Games
      • How To Profit From Road Trips
      • Announced Retirements
      • How To Profit From Interviews
      • Player Interviews
      • Don't Keep Your Eye On The Ball
      • How To Separate Emotion & Character
      • Multiple Motivations
      • A Post-Season No-Think Profit
    • The Monday Night Myth
    • Chapter 4: How to Account for Injuries
      • Injured Celebrities
      • Equal or Superior Opponents
      • Inferior Opponents
      • Teammates' Reactions To Injuries
      • The Replacement
      • The Most Important Injury
      • Any Two Lineman
      • The Most Important Four Injuries
    • Concentrate, Concentrate
    • Chapter 5: Winning Percentages
      • The Drop Percentage
      • Getting Enough Action
      • ILLUS. 5-1: Effects Of A Positive Expectation
      • The Gambler's Fallacy
      • The Ping-Pong Balls
      • ILLUS. 5-3: The Effect of Having Plenty Of Bets
    • Chapter 6: How To Recognize Key Pointspreads
      • ILLUS. 6-1: NFL Margins of Victory
      • How To Profit From Shopping
      • How To Profit From Pointspread Movement
      • How To Profit From Scoring Frequencies
      • ILLUS. 6-2: Frequency of Team Scores
      • How To Translate Scores
      • ILLUS. 6-3: How To Translate Predictions
      • Half-Point Spreads
    • Chapter 7: How To Beat Over/Unders
      • A No-Think Over/Under System
      • ILLUS. 7-1: NFL Total Scores' Frequency
      • Coaching Strategies
      • Averaging To Predict Totals
    • Chapter 8: Money Management
      • Changin The Bet Size
      • ILLUS. 8-1: Percentage Betting
      • How To Determine Your Own Disaster Limit
      • How To Establish Your Own Bet Sizes
      • ILLUS. 8-2: Recommended Bet Sizes
      • Stay To Play
      • Streaks & Deviations
      • Always Behind
      • One Star Two Star Three Stars
      • ILLUS. 8-3: Reality of Standard Deviation
      • ILLUS. 8-4: Profit Probabilities
      • The Kelly Criterion
      • More Bad Advice
      • Exceptions
      • Think 'Business'
      • Chapter 9: How To Profit From Parlay Bets
        • 2-Bet Parlays
        • 3-Bet Parlays
        • Parlay Betting & Money Management
        • ILLUS. 9-1: Comparing Parlays to 11-10 Bets
        • Coupling Bets to Increase Profits
        • 4-Or-More Bet Parlays
        • Mixing Parlays & Single Bets
        • ILLUS. 9-2: Multiple-Bet Probabilities
        • ILLUS. 9-3: How To Spot Unfair Payoffs
        • ILLUS. 9-4: Keeping Track of Streaks
      • Chapter 10: How To Deal with Abstractual Factors
        • Weather
        • Domed Stadiums
        • Trends, Schmends
        • Trends That Really Work
      • Chapter 11: How To Beat Exhibition Season
        • Why You Can Beat Preseason Games
        • How To Handicap Preseason Games
        • How To Beat Preseason Over/Unders
        • The Angel's Second Gift
      • Chapter 12: Sucker Plays
        • Football Pools
        • ILLUS. 12-1: Pool Expectations
        • Pool Cheats
        • ILLUS. 12-2: Last Digit Probabilities
        • Sports Touts
        • Parlay Cards
        • Straddle Bets
        • Teaser Cards
        • Futures Betting
        • Supersition
      • Answers To Quizzes
      • Can You Win?

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